Geopolitics90 days left
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$2.99M
14,104 trades
Smart Whales
262
of 4,715 traders
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
2 MARKETS · $3.00M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
86 YESvs176 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 36 YES vs 146 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$1.6K+14 new NO$64.3K
$2.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $407.4K is directional: YES $3.6K·NO $403.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$9.2K
Avg Win Rate
73.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.6K(-38.7%)
Whales
86
T
Tigerofthehood🥇hedged
Entry 6¢·22,190 shares·also $20.1K on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-650
$-650INV $1.3K · WR 87.4%
I
IbnKhaldun🥈
Entry 11¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-805
$-805INV $1.1K · WR 57.1%
S
Sylvester.the.Cat🥉
Entry 9¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$892
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-597
$-597INV $892 · WR 70.6%
M
MarvelFan94hedged
Entry 9¢·5,000 shares·also $4.5K on NO
Invested
$440
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-288
$-288INV $440 · WR 70.1%
A
abc123def456123
Entry 14¢·2,950 shares
Invested
$413
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-326
$-326INV $413 · WR 90.0%
I
InterestingUser◆Proven
Entry 6¢·3,349 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $201 · WR 63.5%
O
opa4aa
Entry 12¢·1,625 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $195 · WR 59.5%
R
risk-manager
Entry 7¢·2,546.5 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $183 · WR 73.8%
C
cr9
Entry 9¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $135 · WR 82.3%
B
Bravo414
Entry 11¢·1,142.9 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $130 · WR 64.2%
Showing top 10 of 86
NO Team
Total Invested
$449.4K
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$53.8K(+12.0%)
Whales
176
G
GoriIIa🥇
Entry 91¢·206,580.5 shares
Invested
$187.7K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$12798
+$12798INV $187.7K · WR 71.8%
A
aff3🥈
Entry 90¢·81,907.5 shares
Invested
$73.6K
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$5864
+$5864INV $73.6K · WR 79.0%
F
forinnerpsandr1x11222◆Proven🥉
Entry 86¢·29,070 shares
Invested
$25.0K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$3212
+$3212INV $25.0K · WR 91.3%
T
Tigerofthehoodhedged
Entry 90¢·22,190 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$20.1K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$1455
+$1455INV $20.1K · WR 87.4%
S
Spherical-Doc
Entry 88¢·12,500 shares
Invested
$11.0K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$1131
+$1131INV $11.0K · WR 69.4%
J
JoeBlack01
Entry 95¢·11,000 shares
Invested
$10.4K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$215
+$215INV $10.4K · WR 60.3%
E
eCash◆Proven
Entry 87¢·10,721.7 shares
Invested
$9.3K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1059
+$1059INV $9.3K · WR 66.7%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 88¢·9,377.4 shares
Invested
$8.3K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$807
+$807INV $8.3K · WR 90.5%
Z
zve3da
Entry 89¢·7,841.4 shares
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$610
+$610INV $7.0K · WR 77.3%
B
Bromley86◆Proven
Entry 97¢·7,000 shares
Invested
$6.8K
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $6.8K · WR 91.1%
Showing top 10 of 176
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