EconomistOx · Polymarket wallet 0xf2a3…8a8d

Wallet snapshot

EconomistOx has made 591 trades on Polymarket across 133 markets, $16K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and politics (20%). On 103 resolved markets the win rate is 86.4%, lifetime P&L +$572. It holds 26 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $362 · 89¢ → 99¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No · $253 · 89¢ → 95¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $212 · 58¢ → 89¢
• Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No · $182 · 86¢ → 88¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $170 · 86¢ → 95¢
• Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes · $157 · 80¢ → 87¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $145 · 71¢ → 79¢
• Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No · $114 · 87¢ → 94¢
• Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No · $109 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No · $101 · 79¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?No · -$22 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$34 · Oct 6, 2026
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No · +$10 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

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