Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$31.9K
604 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 174 traders
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $191.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs24 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$3.3K+35 new NO$4.6K
$1.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$669(-54.4%)
Whales
10
T
thanksforplayin🥇
Entry 21¢·3,522.6 shares
Invested
$727
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-399
$-399INV $727 · WR 55.6%
L
Loyalty-Crash◆Proven🥈
Entry 19¢·1,900 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-184
$-184INV $361 · WR 63.2%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥉
Entry 25¢·240 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $60 · WR 77.8%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 24¢·140 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $33 · WR 60.7%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 27¢·99.9 shares·also $84 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $27 · WR 72.1%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 23¢·51.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $12 · WR 70.0%
J
johnashbough◆Proven
Entry 20¢·16.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 56.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 79.7%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 28¢·8.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 55.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 87.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$417(+22.0%)
Whales
24
G
Gdub🥇
Entry 81¢·1,251.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $1.0K · WR 70.1%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 65¢·195 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $126 · WR 86.2%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 69¢·125.9 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $86 · WR 87.0%
D
dududududu
Entry 77¢·111 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $85 · WR 64.5%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 76¢·110.5 shares·also $27 on YES
Invested
$84
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $84 · WR 72.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 65¢·105 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $69 · WR 88.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 76¢·90 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $68 · WR 69.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 64¢·89.7 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $58 · WR 88.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 80¢·70 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $56 · WR 89.2%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 75¢·45.7 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $34 · WR 85.0%
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