YES Price
65ยข
65% implied
NO Price
35ยข
35% implied
Volume
$705.2K
11,878 trades
Smart Whales
239
of 1,975 traders ยท 2 on both sides
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
6 MARKETS ยท $3.73M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record
0ยข+24ยข$868.8K30/96Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record+24ยข0ยข
$868.8K30/96
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record
0ยข+38ยข$554.1K62/100Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record+38ยข0ยข
$554.1K62/100
Will 2026 be the hottest year on recordโ
65ยขโ24ยข$705.2K99/140Will 2026 be the hottest year on recordโโ24ยข65ยข
$705.2K99/140
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record
36ยขโ1ยข$462.5K69/129Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on recordโ1ยข36ยข
$462.5K69/129
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
103 YESvs138 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars ยท 64 YES vs 40 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%ยท net of hedges
+9 new YES$3.3K+23 new NO$2.1K
$332 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers โ left out of momentum
6 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$124 of $106.6K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet โ not a bet on the outcome. $480 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $90.9KยทNO $15.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$92.7K
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$31.2K(+33.6%)
Whales
103
R
russell110320๐ฅ
Entry 58ยขยท77,476.1 shares
Invested
$44.6K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$6102
+$6102INV $44.6K ยท WR 67.5%
F
flawfenceโProven๐ฅ
Entry 36ยขยท42,207.3 shares
Invested
$15.3K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$12348
+$12348INV $15.3K ยท WR 55.4%
B
balerinacapuchina๐ฅ
Entry 72ยขยท19,646.3 shares
Invested
$14.1K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-1228
$-1228INV $14.1K ยท WR 70.5%
R
Railcool
Entry 35ยขยท14,507.3 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$4463
+$4463INV $5.0K ยท WR 58.7%
C
Corny-Hyphenation
Entry 65ยขยท5,558.7 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $3.6K ยท WR 67.4%
G
gopfan2โProven
Entry 17ยขยท15,878 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$7767
+$7767INV $2.6K ยท WR 60.2%
A
aviato
Entry 68ยขยท2,025 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $1.4K ยท WR 91.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 61ยขยท2,100 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $1.3K ยท WR 70.5%
B
big-bird1
Entry 73ยขยท1,250.1 shares
Invested
$906
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $906 ยท WR 68.4%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 67ยขยท906.9 shares
Invested
$610
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $610 ยท WR 60.9%
Showing top 10 of 103
NO Team
Total Invested
$61.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$20.4K(-33.5%)
Whales
138
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐ฅ
Entry 66ยขยท27,829.6 shares
Invested
$18.3K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-8466
$-8466INV $18.3K ยท WR 57.7%
O
Orion96๐ฅhedged
Entry 63ยขยท14,458.9 sharesยทalso $240 on YES
Invested
$9.1K
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-4074
$-4074INV $9.1K ยท WR 67.7%
I
influenz.eth๐ฅ
Entry 59ยขยท12,256.4 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2933
$-2933INV $7.3K ยท WR 85.8%
H
hideo
Entry 60ยขยท5,798.9 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-1458
$-1458INV $3.5K ยท WR 75.4%
M
melchior1248
Entry 64ยขยท3,025.9 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-871
$-871INV $1.9K ยท WR 69.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 35ยขยท4,941.9 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $1.7K ยท WR 85.9%
K
korda77
Entry 66ยขยท1,980.1 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-599
$-599INV $1.3K ยท WR 85.2%
I
i18z
Entry 61ยขยท2,013.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-505
$-505INV $1.2K ยท WR 87.1%
M
MKB
Entry 45ยขยท2,452.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-247
$-247INV $1.1K ยท WR 69.3%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 63ยขยท1,715.6 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-467
$-467INV $1.1K ยท WR 86.7%
Showing top 10 of 138
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