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149 days left

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
26ยข
26% implied
NO Price
74ยข
74% implied
Volume
$438.8K
9,062 trades
Smart Whales
191
of 1,551 traders ยท 1 on both sides

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

6 MARKETS ยท $3.58M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

66 YESvs126 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars ยท 37 YES vs 23 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%ยท net of hedges
+7 new YES$192+2 new NO$12
$9 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ€” left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$4 of $47.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $37.5KยทNO $10.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$40.1K
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$10.3K(-25.7%)
Whales
66
G
gopfan2Proven๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 30ยขยท91,697.5 shares
$-4988INV $27.5K ยท WR 60.0%
O
Orion96๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 55ยขยท6,299.8 shares
$-1925INV $3.5K ยท WR 67.8%
M
Miojinho๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 63ยขยท5,000 shares
$-1925INV $3.1K ยท WR 61.3%
F
fintrader
Entry 51ยขยท2,000 shares
$-508INV $1.0K ยท WR 61.5%
W
WongKimArk
Entry 54ยขยท1,120 shares
$-319INV $605 ยท WR 58.5%
R
RememberAmalekProven
Entry 52ยขยท1,006 shares
$-264INV $521 ยท WR 64.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 17ยขยท1,853.8 shares
+$145INV $309 ยท WR 87.6%
G
GollumGekkoProven
Entry 18ยขยท1,679.9 shares
+$112INV $299 ยท WR 75.9%
L
LR1
Entry 39ยขยท685.3 shares
$-89INV $267 ยท WR 62.5%
E
Experienced-Specialist
Entry 66ยขยท307 shares
$-124INV $203 ยท WR 78.3%
Showing top 10 of 66

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: 2026 be the second-hottest yearโ€ฆ