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149 days left

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$861.8K
5,186 trades
Smart Whales
124
of 1,453 traders ยท 1 on both sides

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

6 MARKETS ยท $3.58M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

28 YESvs97 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars ยท 9 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ€” no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$0 of $712 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $646ยทNO $66
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-78.5%)
Whales
28
F
fintrader๐Ÿฅ‡hedged
Entry 98ยขยท1,094.8 sharesยทalso $71 on NO
$-1072INV $1.1K ยท WR 61.5%
T
thatonefox๐Ÿฅˆhedged
Entry 98ยขยท669 sharesยทalso $2 on NO
$-652INV $653 ยท WR 59.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 1ยขยท25,254 shares
$-268INV $306 ยท WR 57.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 17ยขยท1,752 shares
$-289INV $292 ยท WR 87.6%
J
JordanMooneyProven
Entry 17ยขยท150 shares
$-25INV $25 ยท WR 86.1%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 10ยขยท94 shares
$-9INV $9 ยท WR 88.9%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 13ยขยท40 shares
$-5INV $5 ยท WR 66.3%
A
ASDZss
Entry 1ยขยท298 shares
$-4INV $4 ยท WR 61.5%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 7ยขยท50.1 shares
$-3INV $3 ยท WR 88.5%
G
gamblingbling
Entry 17ยขยท6 shares
$-1INV $1 ยท WR 89.7%
Showing top 10 of 28

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 22% YES: 2026 be the fifth-hottest yearโ€ฆ