YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$551.6K
4,710 trades
Smart Whales
128
of 1,171 traders ยท 2 on both sides
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
6 MARKETS ยท $3.58M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record
0ยข+22ยข$861.8K28/97Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record+22ยข0ยข
$861.8K28/97
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record
0ยข+35ยข$540.7K56/104Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record+35ยข0ยข
$540.7K56/104
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record
74ยขโ32ยข$665.2K98/136Will 2026 be the hottest year on recordโ32ยข74ยข
$665.2K98/136
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record
26ยข+8ยข$438.8K66/126Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record+8ยข26ยข
$438.8K66/126
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs101 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars ยท 10 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$2 of $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.7KยทNO $74YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-80.8%)
Whales
29
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐ฅ
Entry 2ยขยท40,764.5 shares
Invested
$925
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-864
$-864INV $925 ยท WR 57.8%
4
4c88๐ฅhedged
Entry 97ยขยท585 sharesยทalso $16 on NO
Invested
$569
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-568
$-568INV $569 ยท WR 56.6%
G
GollumGekkoโProven๐ฅ
Entry 18ยขยท2,239.9 shares
Invested
$399
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-396
$-396INV $399 ยท WR 75.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 17ยขยท2,227.1 shares
Invested
$371
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-368
$-368INV $371 ยท WR 87.6%
J
JordanMooneyโProven
Entry 17ยขยท89.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 ยท WR 86.1%
S
standx2
Entry 3ยขยท458.9 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $14 ยท WR 71.3%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 10ยขยท94 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 ยท WR 88.9%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 13ยขยท40 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 ยท WR 66.3%
A
Anne666
Entry 0ยขยท3,233.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 ยท WR 56.8%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ashhedged
Entry 17ยขยท19 sharesยทalso $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 ยท WR 59.5%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$36.0K
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$48.7K(+135.5%)
Whales
101
I
influenz.eth๐ฅ
Entry 64ยขยท11,338.6 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$4093
+$4093INV $7.2K ยท WR 85.8%
G
gopfan2โProven๐ฅ
Entry 11ยขยท30,366 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$26983
+$26983INV $3.3K ยท WR 60.0%
M
melchior1248๐ฅ
Entry 98ยขยท3,025.8 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $3.0K ยท WR 68.9%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 55ยขยท4,259.7 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1905
+$1905INV $2.3K ยท WR 85.8%
K
korda77
Entry 97ยขยท1,957.3 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $1.9K ยท WR 85.1%
I
i18z
Entry 98ยขยท1,857 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $1.8K ยท WR 87.0%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 98ยขยท1,695.6 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $1.7K ยท WR 86.7%
A
Anon321321
Entry 99ยขยท1,669 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $1.6K ยท WR 86.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 97ยขยท1,215.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $1.2K ยท WR 79.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 49ยขยท2,190.5 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1112
+$1112INV $1.1K ยท WR 72.1%
Showing top 10 of 101
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