YES Price
74ยข
74% implied
NO Price
26ยข
26% implied
Volume
$666.6K
11,384 trades
Smart Whales
230
of 1,930 traders ยท 3 on both sides
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
6 MARKETS ยท $3.58M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record
0ยข+22ยข$861.8K28/97Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record+22ยข0ยข
$861.8K28/97
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record
0ยข+35ยข$540.7K56/104Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record+35ยข0ยข
$540.7K56/104
Will 2026 be the hottest year on recordโ
74ยขโ32ยข$666.6K98/136Will 2026 be the hottest year on recordโโ32ยข74ยข
$666.6K98/136
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record
26ยข+8ยข$438.8K66/126Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record+8ยข26ยข
$438.8K66/126
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
99 YESvs134 NO
43%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars ยท 64 YES vs 38 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 57%
+3 new YES$1.6K+5 new NO$1.2K
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$124 of $93.6K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet โ not a bet on the outcome. $483 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $78.4KยทNO $14.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$80.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$48.4K(+60.3%)
Whales
99
R
russell110320๐ฅ
Entry 55ยขยท60,135.1 shares
Invested
$33.0K
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$11196
+$11196INV $33.0K ยท WR 67.1%
F
flawfence๐ฅ
Entry 35ยขยท50,085.7 shares
Invested
$17.8K
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$19055
+$19055INV $17.8K ยท WR 55.0%
B
balerinacapuchina๐ฅ
Entry 73ยขยท15,493.1 shares
Invested
$11.3K
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $11.3K ยท WR 69.5%
R
Railcool
Entry 35ยขยท14,507.3 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$5623
+$5623INV $5.0K ยท WR 58.5%
C
Corny-Hyphenation
Entry 65ยขยท5,510.7 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$452
+$452INV $3.6K ยท WR 66.4%
G
gopfan2โProven
Entry 17ยขยท15,878 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$9037
+$9037INV $2.6K ยท WR 60.0%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 61ยขยท2,400 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$310
+$310INV $1.5K ยท WR 71.7%
A
aviato
Entry 73ยขยท1,000 shares
Invested
$730
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $730 ยท WR 91.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 75ยขยท830.5 shares
Invested
$619
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $619 ยท WR 68.8%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 70ยขยท610.3 shares
Invested
$425
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $425 ยท WR 57.8%
Showing top 10 of 99
NO Team
Total Invested
$58.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$28.4K(-48.5%)
Whales
134
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐ฅ
Entry 66ยขยท27,829.6 shares
Invested
$18.3K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-10971
$-10971INV $18.3K ยท WR 57.8%
O
Orion96๐ฅhedged
Entry 63ยขยท14,435.7 sharesยทalso $240 on YES
Invested
$9.1K
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-5231
$-5231INV $9.1K ยท WR 67.8%
I
influenz.eth๐ฅ
Entry 59ยขยท12,256.4 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-4036
$-4036INV $7.3K ยท WR 85.8%
H
hideo
Entry 60ยขยท5,798.9 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-1922
$-1922INV $3.5K ยท WR 75.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 64ยขยท3,025.9 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-1144
$-1144INV $1.9K ยท WR 68.9%
K
korda77
Entry 66ยขยท1,980.1 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-777
$-777INV $1.3K ยท WR 85.1%
I
i18z
Entry 61ยขยท2,013.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-687
$-687INV $1.2K ยท WR 87.0%
M
MKB
Entry 45ยขยท2,452.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-444
$-444INV $1.1K ยท WR 69.1%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 63ยขยท1,715.6 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-621
$-621INV $1.1K ยท WR 86.7%
R
rated
Entry 75ยขยท1,376.5 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-667
$-667INV $1.0K ยท WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 134
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