Orion96 · Polymarket wallet 0x3069…f8ef

Wallet snapshot

Orion96 has made 7,193 trades on Polymarket across 659 markets, $991K in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and geopolitics (21%). On 610 resolved markets the win rate is 67.7%, lifetime P&L +$37K. It holds 34 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes · $7,730 · 64¢ → 96¢
• Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?No · $5,106 · 71¢ → 73¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $3,978 · 91¢ → 91¢
• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No · $3,181 · 62¢ → 22¢
• Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes · $2,627 · 43¢ → 20¢
• Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No · $2,510 · 84¢ → 96¢
• Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No · $1,427 · 84¢ → 95¢
• Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes · $1,018 · 82¢ → 84¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · $610 · 56¢ → 61¢
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · $497 · 78¢ → 78¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?No · +$595 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?Yes · +$184 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes · +$100 · Sep 18, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$1,309 · Sep 9, 2026
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No · +$103 · Aug 21, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No · +$175 · Aug 18, 2026
• Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

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