YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$462.5K
9,363 trades
Smart Whales
198
of 1,581 traders · 1 on both sides
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
6 MARKETS · $3.73M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record
0¢+24¢$868.8K30/96Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record+24¢0¢
$868.8K30/96
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record
0¢+38¢$554.1K62/100Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record+38¢0¢
$554.1K62/100
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record
65¢−24¢$705.2K99/140Will 2026 be the hottest year on record−24¢65¢
$705.2K99/140
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record←
36¢−1¢$462.5K69/129Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record←−1¢36¢
$462.5K69/129
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
68 YESvs131 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 82% YES by dollars · 41 YES vs 28 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 71%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$1.6K+14 new NO$736
$246 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
4 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $51.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $42.2K·NO $9.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$44.5K
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-3.4%)
Whales
68
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥇
Entry 30¢·91,697.5 shares
Invested
$27.6K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$2244
+$2244INV $27.6K · WR 60.2%
O
Orion96🥈
Entry 44¢·12,633.2 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-1472
$-1472INV $5.6K · WR 67.7%
M
Miojinho🥉
Entry 63¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-1525
$-1525INV $3.1K · WR 61.4%
F
fintrader
Entry 51¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-308
$-308INV $1.0K · WR 61.5%
F
flawfence◆Proven
Entry 33¢·2,623.6 shares
Invested
$867
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $867 · WR 55.4%
C
Corny-Hyphenation
Entry 35¢·2,034.3 shares
Invested
$712
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $712 · WR 67.4%
W
WongKimArk
Entry 54¢·1,120 shares
Invested
$605
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-241
$-241INV $605 · WR 58.6%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 52¢·1,006 shares
Invested
$521
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-194
$-194INV $521 · WR 64.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 17¢·2,570.7 shares
Invested
$428
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$407
+$407INV $428 · WR 87.7%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 21¢·1,979.9 shares
Invested
$407
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$236
+$236INV $407 · WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 68
NO Team
Total Invested
$38.1K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.8K(+17.9%)
Whales
131
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 49¢·10,524.5 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1633
+$1633INV $5.2K · WR 85.8%
R
russell110320🥈
Entry 76¢·6,760 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-570
$-570INV $5.1K · WR 67.5%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 54¢·7,662.8 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$835
+$835INV $4.1K · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·5,738.7 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$811
+$811INV $2.9K · WR 72.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 68¢·3,155.1 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $2.2K · WR 57.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 64¢·2,530 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1.6K · WR 79.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 46¢·3,128.9 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$579
+$579INV $1.4K · WR 69.2%
I
i18z
Entry 46¢·3,097 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$581
+$581INV $1.4K · WR 87.1%
S
SweetChariot
Entry 52¢·2,560.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
+$394
+$394INV $1.3K · WR 90.2%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 47¢·1,750.4 shares
Invested
$818
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$311
+$311INV $818 · WR 86.7%
Showing top 10 of 131
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