YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$518.7K
6,435 trades
Smart Whales
189
of 1,264 traders
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
6 MARKETS ยท $3.58M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record
0ยข+22ยข$861.8K27/97Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record+22ยข0ยข
$861.8K27/97
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record
0ยข+35ยข$540.7K55/104Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record+35ยข0ยข
$540.7K55/104
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record
70ยขโ27ยข$667.4K99/133Will 2026 be the hottest year on recordโ27ยข70ยข
$667.4K99/133
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record
28ยข+7ยข$443.9K66/125Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record+7ยข28ยข
$443.9K66/125
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
54 YESvs135 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 78% YES by dollars ยท 19 YES vs 30 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$11
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $4.1K is directional: YES $3.2KยทNO $904YES Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.2K(-58.3%)
Whales
54
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐ฅ
Entry 8ยขยท29,870.4 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-2326
$-2326INV $2.5K ยท WR 57.8%
D
donthackme๐ฅ
Entry 17ยขยท3,270.7 shares
Invested
$545
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-534
$-534INV $545 ยท WR 87.6%
G
GodGuideBulle๐ฅhedged
Entry 17ยขยท921.2 sharesยทalso $756 on NO
Invested
$156
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-153
$-153INV $156 ยท WR 78.6%
O
Orion96
Entry 6ยขยท1,869.8 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $108 ยท WR 67.8%
M
Miojinho
Entry 3ยขยท1,381.8 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $41 ยท WR 61.5%
R
ROOKIE
Entry 8ยขยท328.6 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $26 ยท WR 55.1%
G
groppone
Entry 7ยขยท300 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $21 ยท WR 63.8%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 10ยขยท94 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 ยท WR 88.9%
-
-Math
Entry 3ยขยท200 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 ยท WR 74.5%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 13ยขยท40 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 ยท WR 66.3%
Showing top 10 of 54
NO Team
Total Invested
$59.5K
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$36.6K(+61.6%)
Whales
135
G
gopfan2โProven๐ฅ
Entry 52ยขยท36,507.6 shares
Invested
$19.1K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$17245
+$17245INV $19.1K ยท WR 60.0%
I
influenz.eth๐ฅ
Entry 60ยขยท10,769.7 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$4245
+$4245INV $6.5K ยท WR 85.8%
M
melchior1248๐ฅ
Entry 96ยขยท3,025 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $2.9K ยท WR 69.0%
F
flawfence
Entry 21ยขยท11,487.1 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$9055
+$9055INV $2.4K ยท WR 55.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 68ยขยท3,194 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$1026
+$1026INV $2.2K ยท WR 79.3%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 53ยขยท3,672.5 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1699
+$1699INV $2.0K ยท WR 85.8%
K
korda77
Entry 97ยขยท1,839.3 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $1.8K ยท WR 85.1%
I
i18z
Entry 98ยขยท1,720.3 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $1.7K ยท WR 87.0%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 96ยขยท1,720.9 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $1.7K ยท WR 86.7%
A
Anon321321
Entry 98ยขยท1,659 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $1.6K ยท WR 86.3%
Showing top 10 of 135
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