YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$540.7K
5,558 trades
Smart Whales
160
of 1,253 traders
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
6 MARKETS ยท $3.58M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record
0ยข+22ยข$861.8K28/97Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record+22ยข0ยข
$861.8K28/97
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on recordโ
0ยข+35ยข$540.7K56/104Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on recordโ+35ยข0ยข
$540.7K56/104
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record
74ยขโ32ยข$665.2K98/136Will 2026 be the hottest year on recordโ32ยข74ยข
$665.2K98/136
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record
26ยข+8ยข$438.8K66/126Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record+8ยข26ยข
$438.8K66/126
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
56 YESvs104 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars ยท 18 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $17.6K is directional: YES $16.9KยทNO $737YES Team
Total Invested
$20.1K
Avg Win Rate
60.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$18.2K(-90.9%)
Whales
56
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐ฅ
Entry 46ยขยท33,851.4 shares
Invested
$15.6K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-15474
$-15474INV $15.6K ยท WR 57.8%
A
aenews2๐ฅhedged
Entry 114ยขยท737.1 sharesยทalso $273 on NO
Invested
$839
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
$-837
$-837INV $839 ยท WR 74.5%
G
gopfan2๐ฅhedged
Entry 85ยขยท795.5 sharesยทalso $5.1K on NO
Invested
$675
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-673
$-673INV $675 ยท WR 60.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 17ยขยท3,153.5 shares
Invested
$526
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-516
$-516INV $526 ยท WR 87.6%
G
GollumGekkoโProven
Entry 18ยขยท2,239.9 shares
Invested
$399
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-392
$-392INV $399 ยท WR 75.9%
E
Eia
Entry 2ยขยท10,088.7 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-216
$-216INV $246 ยท WR 62.2%
J
jofo
Entry 3ยขยท1,905.9 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $51 ยท WR 61.7%
Y
yurlppy
Entry 1ยขยท6,150 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $41 ยท WR 61.6%
J
JordanMooneyโProven
Entry 17ยขยท108.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 ยท WR 86.1%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 10ยขยท94 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 ยท WR 88.9%
Showing top 10 of 56
NO Team
Total Invested
$42.6K
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$57.9K(+136.1%)
Whales
104
I
influenz.eth๐ฅ
Entry 67ยขยท10,955.7 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3600
+$3600INV $7.3K ยท WR 85.8%
G
gopfan2๐ฅhedged
Entry 14ยขยท37,108.8 sharesยทalso $675 on YES
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$31876
+$31876INV $5.1K ยท WR 60.0%
E
e46m3๐ฅ
Entry 59ยขยท6,304.2 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$2586
+$2586INV $3.7K ยท WR 79.3%
M
melchior1248
Entry 95ยขยท3,025.5 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$141
+$141INV $2.9K ยท WR 68.9%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 55ยขยท4,259.7 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1898
+$1898INV $2.3K ยท WR 85.8%
K
korda77
Entry 97ยขยท1,957.3 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $1.9K ยท WR 85.1%
I
i18z
Entry 97ยขยท1,800.4 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $1.7K ยท WR 87.0%
A
Anon321321
Entry 98ยขยท1,659 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $1.6K ยท WR 86.3%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 95ยขยท1,695.6 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $1.6K ยท WR 86.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 29ยขยท3,781.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$2692
+$2692INV $1.1K ยท WR 72.1%
Showing top 10 of 104
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