xiaoaojiang · Polymarket wallet 0x5195…44eb

Wallet snapshot

xiaoaojiang has made 13,229 trades on Polymarket across 703 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in economics (29%) and politics (15%). On 501 resolved markets the win rate is 14.4%, lifetime P&L -$61. It holds 177 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?". Last trade: Aug 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes · $348 · 29¢ → 99¢
• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes · $343 · 59¢ → 94¢
• Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Yes · $324 · 64¢ → 88¢
• Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes · $284 · 48¢ → 95¢
• Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes · $217 · 10¢ → 85¢
• Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Yes · $206 · 54¢ → 96¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $201 · 79¢ → 98¢
• Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes · $114 · 35¢ → 53¢
• Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes · $107 · 19¢ → 89¢
• Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Yes · $83 · 51¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes · +$188 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$91 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Yes · +$62 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes · +$212 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$36 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

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