Geopolitics111 days left
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
YES Price
87¢
87% implied
NO Price
13¢
13% implied
Volume
$386.3K
8,201 trades
Smart Whales
68
of 427 traders · 1 on both sides
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
4 MARKETS · $451.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October
1¢+27¢$27.8K13/34Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October+27¢1¢
$27.8K13/34
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November
5¢+15¢$12.5K7/28Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November+15¢5¢
$12.5K7/28
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs46 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$48+7 new NO$545
$40 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$75 of $3.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.2K·NO $2.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$850(+21.7%)
Whales
23
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥇hedged
Entry 232¢·543.5 shares·also $700 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-790
$-790INV $1.3K · WR 58.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 45¢·2,082.6 shares·also $1.7K on NO
Invested
$936
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$865
+$865INV $936 · WR 55.3%
M
Maru.lucky.nala.lenu🥉
Entry 49¢·1,270 shares
Invested
$624
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$474
+$474INV $624 · WR 56.9%
F
FishermansFiend
Entry 71¢·494.5 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $350 · WR 71.9%
B
Bravo414
Entry 38¢·263.2 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $100 · WR 64.7%
J
Jenofonte
Entry 78¢·70 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $55 · WR 68.3%
N
nmnr
Entry 75¢·69.6 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $52 · WR 81.8%
A
Affectionate-Mongerhedged
Entry 30¢·123 shares·also $72 on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $37 · WR 79.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 80¢·11.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 57.7%
D
dfv2gbh
Entry 54¢·13 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 · WR 63.3%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.6K
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.9K(-57.0%)
Whales
46
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 81¢·2,082.6 shares·also $936 on YES
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1405
$-1405INV $1.7K · WR 55.3%
I
Ideal-Arch🥈
Entry 21¢·6,148.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
$-487
$-487INV $1.3K · WR 91.1%
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥉hedged
Entry 177¢·395.1 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$700
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-646
$-646INV $700 · WR 58.7%
K
Ko-san-123
Entry 65¢·967.7 shares
Invested
$632
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-501
$-501INV $632 · WR 82.6%
V
vino1234
Entry 182¢·294.1 shares
Invested
$537
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-497
$-497INV $537 · WR 61.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 39¢·1,030 shares
Invested
$398
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-259
$-259INV $398 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 46¢·596.6 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-197
$-197INV $277 · WR 85.8%
E
Extroverted-Development
Entry 31¢·705 shares
Invested
$217
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $217 · WR 59.7%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 16¢·1,355.3 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $215 · WR 64.4%
O
Outsmarter
Entry 41¢·486.4 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $200 · WR 72.9%
Showing top 10 of 46
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