Geopolitics121 days left
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
YES Price
81¢
81% implied
NO Price
19¢
19% implied
Volume
$373.0K
7,933 trades
Smart Whales
73
of 418 traders · 1 on both sides
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
5 MARKETS · $457.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September
1¢+17¢$22.1K8/36Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September+17¢1¢
$22.1K8/36
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October
3¢+27¢$26.4K16/37Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October+27¢3¢
$26.4K16/37
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November
4¢+14¢$11.5K6/28Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November+14¢4¢
$11.5K6/28
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs51 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 33% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%
+3 new YES$149+2 new NO$35
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $3.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $2.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$505(+13.5%)
Whales
23
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥇hedged
Entry 232¢·543.5 shares·also $700 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-823
$-823INV $1.3K · WR 58.8%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 45¢·2,082.6 shares·also $1.7K on NO
Invested
$936
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$740
+$740INV $936 · WR 55.3%
M
Maru.lucky.nala.lenu🥉
Entry 49¢·1,270 shares
Invested
$624
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$398
+$398INV $624 · WR 57.4%
F
FishermansFiend
Entry 70¢·457.4 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $318 · WR 71.6%
F
FreeCityIndividual◆Proven
Entry 73¢·150 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $110 · WR 63.9%
B
Bravo414
Entry 38¢·263.2 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $100 · WR 64.2%
J
Jenofonte
Entry 78¢·70 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $55 · WR 68.3%
S
spacexstar
Entry 83¢·19 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 64.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 80¢·11.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 57.8%
J
jh5124fcg
Entry 54¢·13 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 67.2%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$19.5K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$11.3K(-58.0%)
Whales
51
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 58¢·19,416.3 shares
Invested
$11.3K
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-7470
$-7470INV $11.3K · WR 64.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·2,082.6 shares·also $936 on YES
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1280
$-1280INV $1.7K · WR 55.3%
I
Ideal-Arch🥉
Entry 21¢·6,002.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
91.5%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $1.3K · WR 91.5%
E
Extroverted-Development
Entry 31¢·2,447 shares
Invested
$752
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-275
$-275INV $752 · WR 59.8%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 177¢·395.1 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$700
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-623
$-623INV $700 · WR 58.8%
H
hosoon123
Entry 65¢·967.7 shares
Invested
$632
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-443
$-443INV $632 · WR 82.9%
V
vino1234
Entry 182¢·294.1 shares
Invested
$537
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-479
$-479INV $537 · WR 61.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 46¢·596.6 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-161
$-161INV $277 · WR 85.7%
O
Outsmarter
Entry 41¢·486.4 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $200 · WR 72.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 59¢·322.9 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-127
$-127INV $190 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 51
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 589ms