Geopolitics115 days left
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$24.9K
979 trades
Smart Whales
42
of 159 traders
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
4 MARKETS · $448.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October
3¢+25¢$27.4K13/34Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October+25¢3¢
$27.4K13/34
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November
5¢+13¢$12.2K6/28Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November+13¢5¢
$12.2K6/28
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs33 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+6 new YES$89+0 new NO$0
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $185 is directional: YES $123·NO $62YES Team
Total Invested
$435
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$256(-58.8%)
Whales
9
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 88¢·299 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$263
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-241
$-241INV $263 · WR 56.9%
A
AlphaGooo🥈
Entry 14¢·350 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $47 · WR 62.2%
R
RememberAmalek🥉hedged
Entry 6¢·726.4 shares·also $3.1K on NO
Invested
$47
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $47 · WR 64.4%
P
Porx
Entry 7¢·538.9 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 66.0%
M
Milin-dc
Entry 6¢·230 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 60.7%
E
Eminent-Parade
Entry 10¢·124.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 56.0%
A
aliiz
Entry 5¢·131 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 65.3%
F
Fruitful-Childhood
Entry 12¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 63.6%
Showing top 8 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.5K
Avg Win Rate
74.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+29.4%)
Whales
33
R
RememberAmalek🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·3,787.4 shares·also $47 on YES
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$395
+$395INV $3.1K · WR 64.4%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 72¢·1,212.1 shares
Invested
$868
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$255
+$255INV $868 · WR 87.6%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 80¢·820.6 shares
Invested
$653
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $653 · WR 85.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 51¢·896.1 shares
Invested
$459
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$372
+$372INV $459 · WR 79.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 59¢·587.9 shares
Invested
$347
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$198
+$198INV $347 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 86¢·365 shares
Invested
$313
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $313 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 88¢·255 shares
Invested
$224
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $224 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 43¢·480 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$237
+$237INV $208 · WR 85.9%
T
Te0n2
Entry 86¢·182.4 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $158 · WR 66.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 91¢·150 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $137 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 33
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 416ms