Resolved80 days left
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$82.6K
2,387 trades
Smart Whales
92
of 397 traders
Smart Money Consensus
34 YESvs58 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.8K is directional: YES $5.7K·NO $110YES Team
Total Invested
$14.9K
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.5K(+50.1%)
Whales
34
G
GoriIIa🥇
Entry 50¢·13,476 shares
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$6741
+$6741INV $6.7K · WR 71.8%
B
Barcide🥈
Entry 80¢·2,162.8 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-714
$-714INV $1.7K · WR 75.9%
P
pathos12🥉
Entry 74¢·1,794.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-492
$-492INV $1.3K · WR 65.2%
L
lebensenergie
Entry 66¢·1,200.5 shares
Invested
$798
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-234
$-234INV $798 · WR 58.8%
V
vyemfql
Entry 42¢·1,618.8 shares
Invested
$679
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $679 · WR 69.2%
G
gambler925
Entry 63¢·1,030.9 shares
Invested
$651
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$380
+$380INV $651 · WR 56.1%
S
staflos
Entry 51¢·1,015.8 shares
Invested
$516
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$500
+$500INV $516 · WR 62.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 44¢·934 shares
Invested
$409
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$526
+$526INV $409 · WR 55.3%
A
annacallsit
Entry 25¢·1,457.2 shares
Invested
$357
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$1100
+$1100INV $357 · WR 57.6%
S
Szegedinergulasch
Entry 80¢·379.7 shares
Invested
$303
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $303 · WR 90.5%
Showing top 10 of 34
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.2K
Avg Win Rate
79.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.5K(-67.3%)
Whales
58
G
gmgmgmgmg🥇
Entry 47¢·3,201.7 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1520
$-1520INV $1.5K · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·1,824.8 shares
Invested
$904
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-904
$-904INV $904 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 24¢·3,667.6 shares
Invested
$882
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-882
$-882INV $882 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 31¢·2,779.4 shares
Invested
$870
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-870
$-870INV $870 · WR 85.9%
S
StarMaster◆Proven
Entry 91¢·491.4 shares
Invested
$446
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-446
$-446INV $446 · WR 55.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 29¢·872.6 shares
Invested
$252
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-252
$-252INV $252 · WR 86.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 27¢·899.5 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-245
$-245INV $245 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 34¢·661.7 shares
Invested
$222
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-222
$-222INV $222 · WR 72.2%
O
occasionalAwareness◆Proven
Entry 21¢·500.8 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $103 · WR 63.1%
K
korda77
Entry 17¢·580.8 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $98 · WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 58
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