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Economics80 days left

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
70¢
70% implied
NO Price
30¢
30% implied
Volume
$157.5K
3,082 trades
Smart Whales
129
of 519 traders · 3 on both sides

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

5 MARKETS · $803.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

56 YESvs76 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$1.8K+14 new NO$1.1K
$220 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$62 of $13.2K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $10.0K·NO $3.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$14.7K
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.6K(+51.8%)
Whales
56
X
x26Proven🥇
Entry 61¢·6,000 shares
+$536INV $3.6K · WR 77.6%
D
DancewithRisk🥈
Entry 71¢·3,123.8 shares
$-36INV $2.2K · WR 66.1%
L
LA17🥉
Entry 22¢·8,004.6 shares
+$3810INV $1.8K · WR 82.5%
N
notssf3
Entry 22¢·4,696.4 shares
+$2227INV $1.0K · WR 60.9%
T
Tenebrus7Proven
Entry 60¢·1,521.1 shares
+$138INV $919 · WR 74.2%
A
ASBets
Entry 61¢·1,248.6 shares
+$103INV $765 · WR 58.9%
L
lil.b
Entry 57¢·920.5 shares
+$115INV $525 · WR 66.7%
B
BeneGesseritVoiceProven
Entry 54¢·969.1 shares
+$155INV $523 · WR 73.0%
T
tinman2hedged
Entry 51¢·493.2 shares·also $3 on NO
+$93INV $249 · WR 65.9%
S
S55
Entry 54¢·352.6 shares
+$55INV $191 · WR 66.7%
Showing top 10 of 56

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 41% YES: 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026