sentientsnake · Polymarket wallet 0x105c…b786

+$183 lifetime P&L · 83.1% win rate · 89 resolved markets · 0x105cb743270a2fc319fa2279a09bda5e1506b786

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Wallet snapshot

sentientsnake has made 301 trades on Polymarket across 113 markets, $15K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and politics (14%). On 89 resolved markets the win rate is 83.1%, lifetime P&L +$183. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?". Last trade: Sep 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $263 · 87¢ → 88¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No · $192 · 85¢ → 96¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?No · $145 · 95¢ → 96¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No · $85 · 60¢ → 83¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $57 · 38¢ → 40¢
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No · $48 · 96¢ → 97¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No · $48 · 95¢ → 96¢
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No · $47 · 97¢ → 95¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Yes · $43 · 5¢ → 9¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $39 · 96¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$6 · Oct 13, 2026
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$3 · Oct 1, 2026
Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · -$9 · Sep 30, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

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