Orange.gold · Polymarket wallet 0x0cb5…4e68

Wallet snapshot

Orange.gold has made 1,209 trades on Polymarket across 62 markets, $325K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (50%) and economics (40%). On 58 resolved markets the win rate is 62.1%, lifetime P&L -$100. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes · $630 · 40¢ → 23¢
• Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No · $72 · 39¢ → 30¢

Latest closed positions

• Fed rate hike in 2026?No · +$101 · Sep 16, 2026
• Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No · -$226 · Sep 9, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$103 · Aug 5, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes · -$478 · Aug 4, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes · -$225 · Jul 7, 2026
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes · +$51 · Jul 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes · -$1,042 · Jun 2, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes · -$1,122 · May 12, 2026
• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes · +$294 · May 1, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No · +$23 · May 1, 2026

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