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Geopolitics12 days left

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$6.3K
95 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 56 traders

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

6 MARKETS · $11.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 62% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 71%· net of hedges
+36 new YES$8.7K+35 new NO$3.9K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.4K is directional: YES $3.3K·NO $2.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$60(+1.8%)
Whales
4
M
m4ds🥇
Entry 58¢·4,598.9 shares
+$39INV $2.7K · WR 72.2%
C
classifiedProven🥈
Entry 57¢·632.4 shares
+$7INV $363 · WR 81.3%
L
Lolakis🥉
Entry 56¢·516.3 shares
+$14INV $288 · WR 61.6%
1
0x1bc55ac4...
Entry 59¢·2.3 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 64.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 31% YES: US x Iran effective ceasefire…