Insignificant-Triangle · Polymarket wallet 0x1d4f…97f8

Wallet snapshot

Insignificant-Triangle has made 349 trades on Polymarket across 119 markets, $2,898 in volume. Most of it is in politics (46%) and geopolitics (30%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 56.3%, lifetime P&L +$69. It holds 245 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?". Last trade: Oct 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $86 · 88¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $77 · 92¢ → 92¢
• Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $76 · 41¢ → 99¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $73 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $54 · 84¢ → 82¢
• Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes · $40 · 96¢ → 96¢
• Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Yes · $37 · 37¢ → 99¢
• Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No · $37 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $36 · 72¢ → 50¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No · $35 · 27¢ → 87¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$1 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?No · -$9 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$1 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?No · +$2 · Oct 28, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · -$0 · Oct 28, 2026

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