Geopolitics56 days left
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$273.5K
1,021 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 373 traders · 2 on both sides
Russia military action against EU country by...?
2 MARKETS · $285.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs46 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 42 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$13 of $22.4K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $4.2K·NO $18.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.3K
Avg Win Rate
78.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-49.4%)
Whales
19
P
pretzel🥇
Entry 11¢·16,856.1 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-891
$-891INV $1.9K · WR 84.5%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven🥈
Entry 11¢·10,837.3 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-624
$-624INV $1.2K · WR 75.4%
J
Jest55◆Proven🥉
Entry 14¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$560
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-340
$-340INV $560 · WR 83.0%
C
Car
Entry 11¢·1,308.4 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $139 · WR 65.0%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven
Entry 11¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $110 · WR 62.8%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor◆Proven
Entry 10¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $100 · WR 69.4%
P
ponydsb
Entry 10¢·581 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $58 · WR 62.8%
G
geowatch
Entry 5¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $50 · WR 66.9%
3
0x3c8ff293...
Entry 11¢·367.6 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $41 · WR 55.4%
U
UntitledUser1hedged
Entry 11¢·301.3 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$33
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $33 · WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$18.4K
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+6.4%)
Whales
46
N
NoIdea666🥇
Entry 89¢·6,059 shares
Invested
$5.4K
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$325
+$325INV $5.4K · WR 92.9%
M
MEPP🥈
Entry 91¢·4,490 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$157
+$157INV $4.1K · WR 63.5%
B
bigshort🥉
Entry 88¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $1.8K · WR 83.1%
G
GTOrski1
Entry 86¢·1,899 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$156
+$156INV $1.6K · WR 71.4%
5
57284910
Entry 88¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
97.0%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $1.3K · WR 97.0%
C
cumprod◆Proven
Entry 88¢·1,400 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $1.2K · WR 81.3%
S
sabsabinxz
Entry 88¢·750 shares
Invested
$660
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $660 · WR 69.6%
E
Eia
Entry 88¢·575 shares
Invested
$506
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $506 · WR 61.4%
J
Jianyuen
Entry 89¢·300 shares
Invested
$267
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $267 · WR 66.6%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 88¢·300 shares
Invested
$263
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $263 · WR 65.5%
Showing top 10 of 46
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