Geopolitics101 days left
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$25.0K
178 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 76 traders
Russia military action against EU country by...?
2 MARKETS · $33.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs17 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$95+5 new NO$1.4K
$132 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.1K is directional: YES $21·NO $5.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$212
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+2.9%)
Whales
8
M
MisTKy🥇
Entry 18¢·919.3 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $165 · WR 71.8%
M
Medium-Peacock🥈hedged
Entry 18¢·100 shares·also $83 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 69.2%
W
Well-Made-Simvastatin🥉
Entry 19¢·62.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 85.0%
L
Lasting-Stag
Entry 17¢·50 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 57.9%
A
Anjun
Entry 17¢·22.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 58.9%
R
romanew-cryp
Entry 20¢·17.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 70.8%
O
Ozoroh
Entry 19¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 74.5%
G
ghorrock
Entry 18¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 59.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$80(-1.5%)
Whales
17
L
laureman🥇
Entry 82¢·2,479.8 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $2.0K · WR 100.0%
G
GTOrski1🥈
Entry 84¢·1,013 shares
Invested
$851
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $851 · WR 68.8%
S
sabsabinxz🥉
Entry 88¢·750 shares
Invested
$663
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $663 · WR 60.3%
S
SubashChandraBose
Entry 83¢·503.6 shares
Invested
$416
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $416 · WR 84.4%
K
kaspersz
Entry 84¢·377.4 shares
Invested
$316
Win Rate
93.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $316 · WR 93.9%
P
Pantheon1
Entry 81¢·300 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $243 · WR 71.4%
B
Barcide
Entry 82¢·243.9 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $200 · WR 76.0%
P
prognozu
Entry 81¢·200 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $162 · WR 86.3%
M
Medium-Peacockhedged
Entry 83¢·100 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$83
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $83 · WR 69.2%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 82¢·100 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $82 · WR 61.0%
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