21 days left

Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

88¢

88% implied

NO Price

12¢

12% implied

Volume

$939

65 trades

Smart Whales

of 36 traders

AP calls the House by...?

6 MARKETS · $4.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

by November 3, 11:59 PM

27¢+30¢$6434/3

by November 3, 11:59 PM+30¢27¢

$6434/3

by November 4, 11:59 PM

88¢−21¢$1.2K4/2

by November 4, 11:59 PM−21¢88¢

$1.2K4/2

by November 5, 11:59 PM←

88¢−38¢$9392/2

by November 5, 11:59 PM←−38¢88¢

$9392/2

by November 6, 11:59 PM

91¢+9¢$1.0K6/0

by November 6, 11:59 PM+9¢91¢

$1.0K6/0

by November 15, 11:59 PM

98¢+2¢$4982/0

by November 15, 11:59 PM+2¢98¢

$4982/0

by November 30, 11:59 PM

98¢+2¢$852/0

by November 30, 11:59 PM+2¢98¢

$852/0

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs2 NO

60%40%

60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges

+8 new YES$225+7 new NO$34

$42 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale0 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $240 is directional: YES $237·NO $3

YES Team

Total Invested

$267

Avg Win Rate

81.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$50(+18.7%)

Whales

DFK🥇

Entry 79¢·301.3 shares

+$27INV $237 · WR 82.6%

+$15INV $20 · WR 72.1%

+$8INV $10 · WR 60.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$14

Avg Win Rate

56.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$4(-30.8%)

Whales

$-9INV $11 · WR 55.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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