Politics9 days left
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$83.6K
1,043 trades
Smart Whales
96
of 256 traders · 1 on both sides
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $397.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
30 YESvs67 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 35 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$421+16 new NO$2.3K
$221 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$25 of $7.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.1K·NO $3.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$11.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.1K(-28.1%)
Whales
30
M
MisTKy🥇
Entry 64¢·10,437.3 shares
Invested
$6.6K
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-3126
$-3126INV $6.6K · WR 71.1%
C
C03B🥈
Entry 32¢·11,950 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$147
+$147INV $3.9K · WR 87.0%
U
UbuntuTrading◆Proven🥉
Entry 68¢·200 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $136 · WR 66.5%
R
robert-mukhametov
Entry 33¢·364.6 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $122 · WR 62.5%
X
xinyuan
Entry 68¢·116.2 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $79 · WR 75.0%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7
Entry 33¢·83.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $28 · WR 57.5%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 33¢·38.1 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 68.6%
S
starziu
Entry 33¢·30.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 63.6%
R
robinsonison
Entry 33¢·29 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 55.7%
S
Slowbathroom
Entry 33¢·16 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 63.2%
Showing top 10 of 30
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.7K
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$284(+2.9%)
Whales
67
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 66¢·4,248.3 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $2.8K · WR 61.0%
K
klli27🥈
Entry 68¢·1,332.8 shares
Invested
$901
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $901 · WR 86.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 67¢·1,099.9 shares
Invested
$740
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $740 · WR 79.4%
P
pollo07
Entry 58¢·1,077 shares
Invested
$627
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $627 · WR 85.8%
Z
zerone777
Entry 67¢·922.4 shares
Invested
$619
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $619 · WR 86.2%
K
kaxel78
Entry 66¢·904.6 shares
Invested
$600
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $600 · WR 86.9%
L
Likaseent
Entry 57¢·930 shares
Invested
$531
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $531 · WR 83.3%
M
merod
Entry 53¢·982.2 shares
Invested
$520
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$132
+$132INV $520 · WR 84.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 67¢·640.7 shares
Invested
$430
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $430 · WR 87.6%
V
Vale54holi
Entry 67¢·389.1 shares
Invested
$259
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $259 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 67
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