Politics22 days left
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$13.1K
45 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 24 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $38.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs3 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$4.9K+11 new NO$7.9K
$954 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.5K is directional: YES $927·NO $6.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$927
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$46(-5.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$213(+3.2%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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