Politics22 days left
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$976
15 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 10 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $79.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs1 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 55%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$509+6 new NO$434
$199 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $23 is directional: YES $23·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$123
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$34(+27.9%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$61
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+0.7%)
Whales
1
Smart Whale Trades
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