Politics22 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$38.8K
89 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 40 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $79.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$740+31 new NO$38.4K
$387 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.1K is directional: YES $108·NO $5.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-90.7%)
Whales
4
P
puravida🥇
Entry 90¢·2,399 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-2073
$-2073INV $2.2K · WR 59.9%
A
AlphaGooo🥈
Entry 17¢·1,340 shares
Invested
$234
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-187
$-187INV $234 · WR 61.9%
X
xinyuan🥉
Entry 4¢·2,900 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $108 · WR 75.0%
M
Majas
Entry 96¢·58.2 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $56 · WR 67.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$16(-0.3%)
Whales
10
L
laureman🥇
Entry 97¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $2.9K · WR 91.4%
C
Car🥈
Entry 97¢·816.4 shares
Invested
$789
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $789 · WR 64.9%
2
20260601🥉
Entry 97¢·599 shares
Invested
$583
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $583 · WR 64.4%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 97¢·600 shares
Invested
$581
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $581 · WR 74.2%
L
Lolakis
Entry 96¢·82.1 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $79 · WR 61.8%
N
NellyDora
Entry 97¢·37.9 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $37 · WR 55.5%
M
mad4x
Entry 97¢·15 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 57.0%
C
commeowder◆Proven
Entry 97¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 69.4%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 97¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.4%
V
v2boring
Entry 97¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $2 · WR 100.0%
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