Politics22 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$22.4K
113 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 41 traders · 1 on both sides
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $78.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$627+27 new NO$21.7K
$470 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$21 of $5.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $118·NO $5.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$408
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$244(-59.7%)
Whales
5
K
kitty07🥇
Entry 96¢·210 shares
Invested
$202
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-196
$-196INV $202 · WR 71.7%
X
xinyuan🥈
Entry 3¢·3,953.2 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $118 · WR 75.0%
A
AlphaGooo🥉
Entry 97¢·45.8 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $44 · WR 61.9%
1
1walrushedged
Entry 3¢·1,200 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
—
—INV $34 · WR 65.1%
C
Carhedged
Entry 2¢·465.8 shares·also $138 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $11 · WR 64.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.3K
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-0.1%)
Whales
12
L
laureman🥇
Entry 97¢·1,700 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $1.7K · WR 91.4%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven🥈
Entry 97¢·1,382 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $1.3K · WR 74.2%
1
1walrus🥉hedged
Entry 97¢·1,200 shares·also $34 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1.2K · WR 65.1%
T
TronOG
Entry 97¢·1,083.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
78.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1.1K · WR 78.1%
P
peterfromfamilyguy
Entry 98¢·500 shares
Invested
$489
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $489 · WR 60.5%
P
puravida
Entry 97¢·215 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $209 · WR 59.9%
M
Majas
Entry 97¢·200 shares
Invested
$194
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $194 · WR 67.4%
C
Carhedged
Entry 97¢·142.2 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$138
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $138 · WR 64.9%
D
0xd8c208fe...
Entry 98¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $26 · WR 73.9%
N
NellyDora
Entry 97¢·14.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 55.5%
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