cd30gfu530p0 · Polymarket wallet 0xfd5a…aa7a

Wallet snapshot

cd30gfu530p0 has made 10,224 trades on Polymarket across 1,116 markets, $118K in volume. Most of it is in sports (52%) and geopolitics (18%). On 995 resolved markets the win rate is 54.7%, lifetime P&L +$766. It holds 95 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $1,087 · 84¢ → 92¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $935 · 87¢ → 96¢
• Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No · $428 · 91¢ → 97¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $379 · 68¢ → 79¢
• Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes · $336 · 12¢ → 14¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $331 · 79¢ → 95¢
• Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $262 · 0¢ → 8¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No · $250 · 29¢ → 53¢
• Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes · $239 · 34¢ → 32¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · $222 · 58¢ → 46¢

Latest closed positions

• China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Yes · +$7 · Nov 13, 2026
• Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?No · +$0 · Nov 13, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Yes · +$12 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$48 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?No · -$77 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?No · +$15 · Nov 12, 2026
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.