Geopolitics74 days left

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$15.6K
630 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 162 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

10 YESvs10 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$2+2 new NO$24
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$378 of $2.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $210·NO $1.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 50% YES: China ballistic missile launch…