Geopolitics90 days left

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

YES Price
20ยข
20% implied
NO Price
80ยข
80% implied
Volume
$13.4K
540 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 151 traders ยท 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs12 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars ยท 7 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ€” no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$12 of $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $210ยทNO $1.3K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 48% YES: China ballistic missile launchโ€ฆ