Geopolitics323 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

58¢

58% implied

NO Price

42¢

42% implied

Volume

$1.5K

95 trades

Smart Whales

of 42 traders

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 MARKETS · $5.40M MATCHED

Smart Money

by October 31, 2026

4¢+33¢$1.97M160/270

by October 31, 2026+33¢4¢

$1.97M160/270

by December 31, 2026

17¢+32¢$2.78M190/201

by December 31, 2026+32¢17¢

$2.78M190/201

by March 31, 2027

33¢+21¢$184.0K36/31

by March 31, 2027+21¢33¢

$184.0K36/31

by June 30, 2027

51¢+4¢$163.0K39/32

by June 30, 2027+4¢51¢

$163.0K39/32

by April 30, 2027

40¢+4¢$4.9K4/5

by April 30, 2027+4¢40¢

$4.9K4/5

by May 31, 2027

48¢+4¢$16.9K13/12

by May 31, 2027+4¢48¢

$16.9K13/12

by October 31, 2027

64¢−4¢$69.1K9/6

by October 31, 2027−4¢64¢

$69.1K9/6

by July 31, 2027

52¢−2¢$3.6K5/5

by July 31, 2027−2¢52¢

$3.6K5/5

by September 30, 2027

62¢−16¢$2.1K6/7

by September 30, 2027−16¢62¢

$2.1K6/7

by December 31, 2027

67¢−11¢$48.1K22/17

by December 31, 2027−11¢67¢

$48.1K22/17

by August 31, 2027←

58¢+9¢$1.5K8/4

by August 31, 2027←+9¢58¢

$1.5K8/4

by November 30, 2027

66¢−23¢$4.3K6/8

by November 30, 2027−23¢66¢

$4.3K6/8

by January 31, 2027

23¢+17¢$71.8K25/37

by January 31, 2027+17¢23¢

$71.8K25/37

by February 28, 2027

27¢+4¢$28.8K11/25

by February 28, 2027+4¢27¢

$28.8K11/25

by November 30, 2026

10¢+17¢$52.8K15/41

by November 30, 2026+17¢10¢

$52.8K15/41

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Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs4 NO

67%33%

67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $142 is directional: YES $142·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$249

Avg Win Rate

63.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$20(+7.9%)

Whales

Measly-Toothbrush🥇

Entry 50¢·166.5 shares

+$13INV $84 · WR 56.9%

gesst🥈

Entry 60¢·125.8 shares

$-3INV $75 · WR 69.8%

newnewuser🥉

Entry 58¢·94.2 shares

$-0INV $12 · WR 60.8%

Gluckykluckyhedged

Entry 43¢·20.2 shares·also $13 on NO

Entry 43¢·19 shares·also $10 on NO

Entry 37¢·16.8 shares·also $5 on NO

NO Team

Total Invested

$49

Avg Win Rate

72.6%

Aggregate P&L

-$8(-17.0%)

Whales

Entry 65¢·20.2 shares·also $9 on YES

$-5INV $13 · WR 81.5%

hithitfar🥉hedged

Entry 55¢·19 shares·also $8 on YES

$-2INV $10 · WR 59.7%

Zasmeshedged

Entry 58¢·7.8 shares·also $6 on YES

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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