Crowded-Formicarium · Polymarket wallet 0x94a8…5227

Wallet snapshot

Crowded-Formicarium has made 47 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $2,340 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (72%) and sports (12%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 75%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Aug 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $441 · 88¢ → 97¢
• US strike on Mexico by December 31?No · $230 · 84¢ → 96¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $226 · 85¢ → 96¢
• Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No · $112 · 85¢ → 96¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $76 · 90¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?Yes · +$14 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$9 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?No · +$6 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No · +$7 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No · +$11 · Jun 4, 2026
• Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?No · +$15 · May 2, 2026
• Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur FilsNo · -$41 · Apr 19, 2026

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