Geopolitics77 days left
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$889
53 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 25 traders
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
5 MARKETS · $10.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31
5¢+6¢$1.6K1/8Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31+6¢5¢
$1.6K1/8
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31
8¢+35¢$2.2K3/4Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31+35¢8¢
$2.2K3/4
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31←
5¢+15¢$8891/4Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31←+15¢5¢
$8891/4
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Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $3·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-48.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$177
Avg Win Rate
86.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$165(+93.1%)
Whales
4
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 50¢·224 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $112 · WR 88.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·104.1 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $52 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 50¢·24 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $12 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 17¢·7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1 · WR 86.0%
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