Geopolitics77 days left
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$1.6K
99 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 32 traders
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
5 MARKETS · $10.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31←
5¢+6¢$1.6K1/8Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31←+6¢5¢
$1.6K1/8
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31
8¢+35¢$2.2K3/4Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31+35¢8¢
$2.2K3/4
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31
5¢+15¢$8891/4Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31+15¢5¢
$8891/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $246 is directional: YES $0·NO $246YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+292.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$505
Avg Win Rate
87.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$330(+65.3%)
Whales
8
F
Fulgurator◆Proven🥇
Entry 89¢·268 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $239 · WR 91.8%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·224 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $112 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 50¢·224 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $112 · WR 87.7%
C
Chims◆Proven
Entry 22¢·105 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $23 · WR 85.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·24 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $12 · WR 85.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 97¢·7.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 68.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 1¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $0 · WR 89.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 1¢·7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $0 · WR 86.0%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 426ms