Geopolitics77 days left
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$2.2K
99 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 43 traders
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
5 MARKETS · $10.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31
5¢+6¢$1.6K1/8Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31+6¢5¢
$1.6K1/8
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31←
8¢+35¢$2.2K3/4Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31←+35¢8¢
$2.2K3/4
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31
5¢+15¢$8891/4Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31+15¢5¢
$8891/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$3+6 new NO$70
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $415 is directional: YES $13·NO $403YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-41.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$529
Avg Win Rate
74.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$115(+21.7%)
Whales
4
A
AllByMyseIf🥇
Entry 88¢·456.2 shares
Invested
$403
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $403 · WR 70.8%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 55¢·203.7 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $112 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 50¢·24 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $12 · WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 12¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $2 · WR 89.3%
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