Geopolitics80 days left
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$64.0K
1,232 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 210 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $895.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs16 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$59+5 new NO$274
$24 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.0K is directional: YES $18·NO $3.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$642
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$460(-71.6%)
Whales
7
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 40¢·863.8 shares·also $32 on NO
Invested
$341
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-225
$-225INV $341 · WR 65.8%
L
laureman🥈hedged
Entry 88¢·298 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$263
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-223
$-223INV $263 · WR 91.4%
M
Majas🥉
Entry 18¢·100 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $18 · WR 67.4%
1
0x18283a8c...hedged
Entry 87¢·7.7 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 59.2%
A
Alfabaguera
Entry 13¢·48.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 60.3%
P
politeste
Entry 19¢·30 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 69.2%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 57¢·1.3 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+35.5%)
Whales
16
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 89¢·2,666.8 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $2.4K · WR 57.7%
H
Hellboy-winner🥈
Entry 84¢·200 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $168 · WR 79.5%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven🥉
Entry 83¢·186 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $154 · WR 74.2%
N
nedsta
Entry 78¢·96 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $75 · WR 87.8%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 67¢·98.7 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $67 · WR 62.5%
R
runechiters
Entry 66¢·100 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $66 · WR 61.5%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 77¢·50 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $39 · WR 69.8%
L
lauremanhedged
Entry 12¢·298 shares·also $263 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$221
+$221INV $37 · WR 91.4%
V
viniihedged
Entry 3¢·986.2 shares·also $341 on YES
Invested
$32
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$821
+$821INV $32 · WR 65.8%
C
Compound-57
Entry 67¢·29.7 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 73.4%
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