Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
YES Price
59¢
59% implied
NO Price
41¢
41% implied
Volume
$58.5K
2,512 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 233 traders
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $712.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
38¢−18¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−18¢38¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher←
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher←−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
83¢−23¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−23¢83¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢0¢$20.0K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher0¢25¢
$20.0K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs11 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 75%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$404+5 new NO$153
$58 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $366 is directional: YES $206·NO $159YES Team
Total Invested
$309
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+2.9%)
Whales
13
B
BAO95889🥇
Entry 63¢·166 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $104 · WR 57.0%
C
Computerdude111🥈hedged
Entry 54¢·177.3 shares·also $219 on NO
Invested
$95
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $95 · WR 77.5%
O
Olcan🥉
Entry 42¢·99 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $42 · WR 76.8%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 61¢·50 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $31 · WR 69.9%
C
crastsa
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $16 · WR 76.7%
L
liukun
Entry 76¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 76.4%
W
wert4hedged
Entry 42¢·14.7 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 65.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 67¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 68.8%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 25¢·5.2 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 55.9%
D
Demanding-Breakthrough
Entry 73¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.9%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$865
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$229(-26.5%)
Whales
11
L
lamyk🥇
Entry 120¢·370.5 shares
Invested
$445
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-292
$-292INV $445 · WR 56.8%
C
Computerdude111🥈hedged
Entry 111¢·197.3 shares·also $95 on YES
Invested
$219
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $219 · WR 77.5%
I
iutwpfal🥉
Entry 14¢·621.2 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$190
+$190INV $85 · WR 74.1%
S
SteviaDaddy
Entry 34¢·219.8 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $75 · WR 57.3%
B
bababoyi1
Entry 61¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $12 · WR 55.3%
W
wert4hedged
Entry 83¢·14.7 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $12 · WR 65.1%
N
nefariouskermit
Entry 56¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $11 · WR 74.1%
D
divinets
Entry 67¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 58.0%
A
0xa5cb092f...
Entry 94¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 64.1%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 6¢·5.2 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $0 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 11
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