Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$49.4K
1,866 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 187 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs8 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$354+14 new NO$1.1K
$151 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$357 of $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.0K(-29.4%)
Whales
9
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 70¢·3,410.1 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-799
$-799INV $2.4K · WR 57.0%
C
Computerdude111🥈hedged
Entry 73¢·652.5 shares·also $396 on NO
Invested
$478
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-175
$-175INV $478 · WR 77.5%
I
iutwpfal🥉hedged
Entry 316¢·58.9 shares·also $206 on NO
Invested
$186
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-159
$-159INV $186 · WR 74.1%
S
SteviaDaddyhedged
Entry 45¢·397.1 shares·also $339 on NO
Invested
$179
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $179 · WR 57.3%
V
viniihedged
Entry 22¢·395.2 shares·also $257 on NO
Invested
$88
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $88 · WR 65.8%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 70¢·71.3 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$50
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $50 · WR 68.8%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 22¢·173.5 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $38 · WR 70.2%
S
Sugary-Driveway-Brownie
Entry 40¢·26.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $11 · WR 71.6%
A
0xa5cb092f...
Entry 45¢·4.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 64.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$78(-1.5%)
Whales
8
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 51¢·3,450.3 shares·also $2.4K on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $1.8K · WR 57.0%
O
Olcan🥈
Entry 58¢·2,860.9 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $1.7K · WR 76.8%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·1,325.7 shares
Invested
$666
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $666 · WR 63.6%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 48¢·819 shares·also $478 on YES
Invested
$396
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $396 · WR 77.5%
S
SteviaDaddyhedged
Entry 55¢·613 shares·also $179 on YES
Invested
$339
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $339 · WR 57.3%
V
viniihedged
Entry 62¢·414.5 shares·also $88 on YES
Invested
$257
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $257 · WR 65.8%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 83¢·247.2 shares·also $186 on YES
Invested
$206
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $206 · WR 74.1%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 48¢·71.3 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$34
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $34 · WR 68.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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