caffe-paper · Polymarket wallet 0x5a95…2ef9

Wallet snapshot

caffe-paper has made 647 trades on Polymarket across 102 markets, $111K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (62%) and politics (26%). On 92 resolved markets the win rate is 57.6%, lifetime P&L +$3,765. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?". Last trade: Nov 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?No · $1,584 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No · $1,162 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $372 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes · $293 · 34¢ → 47¢
• Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes · $250 · 42¢ → 40¢
• Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes · $232 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $140 · 68¢ → 78¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes · +$254 · Nov 6, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$1,222 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes · +$594 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$155 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes · +$459 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$191 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.