83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YES Price
39¢
39% implied
NO Price
61¢
61% implied
Volume
$33.3K
1,372 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 173 traders
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $715.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
41¢+16¢$63.6K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+16¢41¢
$63.6K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
11¢+22¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+22¢11¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
9¢+29¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+29¢9¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
58¢−10¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−10¢58¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
20¢+30¢$20.0K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+30¢20¢
$20.0K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
42¢+14¢$50.8K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+14¢42¢
$50.8K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
67¢−11¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−11¢67¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$34+4 new NO$90
$27 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $520·NO $843YES Team
Total Invested
$520
Avg Win Rate
57.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$85(+16.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$843
Avg Win Rate
64.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+1.7%)
Whales
8
D
dedidanc🥇
Entry 64¢·633.4 shares
Invested
$405
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $405 · WR 61.3%
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥈
Entry 58¢·400 shares
Invested
$232
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $232 · WR 69.2%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·251.7 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $126 · WR 63.6%
O
Olcan
Entry 60¢·100 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $60 · WR 76.8%
B
BAO95889
Entry 62¢·26.6 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 57.0%
P
piggyramen
Entry 52¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 55.7%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 71¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 69.0%
B
big-bird1
Entry 63¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.8%
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