83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
YES Price
71¢
71% implied
NO Price
29¢
29% implied
Volume
$30.4K
1,116 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 167 traders
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher←
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher←−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs11 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.6K is directional: YES $2.2K·NO $442YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-0.5%)
Whales
7
M
Milksheen🥇
Entry 75¢·2,858.4 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-155
$-155INV $2.2K · WR 57.5%
O
Olcan🥈hedged
Entry 57¢·367.1 shares·also $149 on NO
Invested
$210
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $210 · WR 76.8%
C
Computerdude111🥉hedged
Entry 24¢·131.5 shares·also $115 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $32 · WR 77.5%
L
Lllhu
Entry 26¢·40 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $10 · WR 72.8%
X
xSundancerhedged
Entry 99¢·5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 58.0%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 49¢·8.1 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 · WR 68.8%
N
nefariouskermit
Entry 7¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $1 · WR 74.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$724
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$55(+7.6%)
Whales
11
D
dedidanc🥇
Entry 25¢·1,107 shares
Invested
$273
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $273 · WR 61.3%
O
Olcan🥈hedged
Entry 116¢·128.8 shares·also $210 on YES
Invested
$149
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $149 · WR 76.8%
C
Computerdude111🥉hedged
Entry 95¢·121.5 shares·also $32 on YES
Invested
$115
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $115 · WR 77.5%
S
SingletonFamilyFund
Entry 15¢·462 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $71 · WR 69.2%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 17¢·402.8 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $69 · WR 74.1%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 10¢·162.5 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $16 · WR 63.6%
V
vinii
Entry 8¢·166.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $13 · WR 65.8%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 92¢·8.1 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $7 · WR 68.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 29¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 57.7%
X
xSundancerhedged
Entry 80¢·5 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 58.0%
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