Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$40.2K
1,243 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 201 traders
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher←
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher←+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs13 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $453 is directional: YES $71·NO $382YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-69.3%)
Whales
14
C
Computerdude111🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·783.9 shares·also $307 on NO
Invested
$642
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-446
$-446INV $642 · WR 77.5%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 137¢·455.8 shares·also $200 on NO
Invested
$625
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-511
$-511INV $625 · WR 65.8%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 130¢·362.1 shares·also $169 on NO
Invested
$471
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-380
$-380INV $471 · WR 57.0%
K
Konfucioushedged
Entry 87¢·100 shares·also $56 on NO
Invested
$87
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $87 · WR 62.0%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 83¢·83 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$69
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $69 · WR 55.9%
M
Milksheen
Entry 20¢·328 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $64 · WR 57.5%
T
techhawk
Entry 40¢·76 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $30 · WR 62.7%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 12¢·245.7 shares·also $155 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $30 · WR 74.1%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 75¢·30.9 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $23 · WR 68.8%
1
0x18283a8c...hedged
Entry 100¢·7.7 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 58.9%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+68.9%)
Whales
13
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 43¢·1,204.5 shares
Invested
$513
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$391
+$391INV $513 · WR 72.2%
O
Olcan🥈
Entry 64¢·593.8 shares
Invested
$382
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $382 · WR 76.8%
C
Computerdude111🥉hedged
Entry 29¢·1,074.5 shares·also $642 on YES
Invested
$307
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$499
+$499INV $307 · WR 77.5%
V
viniihedged
Entry 44¢·455.8 shares·also $625 on YES
Invested
$200
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $200 · WR 65.8%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 68¢·250.8 shares·also $471 on YES
Invested
$169
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $169 · WR 57.0%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 63¢·245.7 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$155
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $155 · WR 74.1%
K
Konfucioushedged
Entry 40¢·140 shares·also $87 on YES
Invested
$56
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $56 · WR 62.0%
W
WeFoundLove
Entry 39¢·60 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $23 · WR 67.2%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 27¢·83 shares·also $69 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $22 · WR 55.9%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 36¢·30.9 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $11 · WR 68.8%
Showing top 10 of 13
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