Tech/AI89 days left
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
YES Price
87¢
87% implied
NO Price
13¢
13% implied
Volume
$36.1K
1,035 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 172 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $669.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←
87¢−21¢$36.1K19/10by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←−21¢87¢
$36.1K19/10
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
48¢+13¢$60.5K11/7by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+13¢48¢
$60.5K11/7
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
24¢+18¢$34.8K10/14by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+18¢24¢
$34.8K10/14
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
11¢+29¢$7.7K4/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢11¢
$7.7K4/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
7¢+31¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+31¢7¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
77¢−41¢$27.6K5/9by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−41¢77¢
$27.6K5/9
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
51¢−5¢$30.7K6/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−5¢51¢
$30.7K6/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
13¢+30¢$13.8K6/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+30¢13¢
$13.8K6/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+34¢$11.9K4/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+34¢10¢
$11.9K4/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
10¢+19¢$4.0K2/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+19¢10¢
$4.0K2/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
78¢−26¢$56.5K13/12by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−26¢78¢
$56.5K13/12
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
32¢+21¢$30.9K10/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+21¢32¢
$30.9K10/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
12¢+32¢$34.8K7/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+32¢12¢
$34.8K7/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
6¢+40¢$18.9K6/7by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+40¢6¢
$18.9K6/7
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+39¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+39¢4¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
31¢+34¢$47.5K13/7by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+34¢31¢
$47.5K13/7
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
22¢+18¢$16.8K6/9by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+18¢22¢
$16.8K6/9
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
11¢+39¢$9.3K4/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+39¢11¢
$9.3K4/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+46¢$2.0K1/1by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+46¢4¢
$2.0K1/1
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
79¢−19¢$36.4K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−19¢79¢
$36.4K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
52¢+1¢$48.6K8/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+1¢52¢
$48.6K8/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
28¢−14¢$18.6K2/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher−14¢28¢
$18.6K2/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
7¢+13¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+13¢7¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−35¢$34.3K17/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−35¢96¢
$34.3K17/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
59¢0¢$43.5K10/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher0¢59¢
$43.5K10/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+24¢$18.0K10/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+24¢24¢
$18.0K10/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs10 NO
66%35%
66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%
+2 new YES$192+1 new NO$33
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$142 of $2.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.3K·NO $397YES Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$100(+3.8%)
Whales
19
M
Milksheen🥇
Entry 87¢·1,192.3 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $1.0K · WR 55.6%
A
Aragorn-II◆Proven🥈
Entry 85¢·500 shares
Invested
$423
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $423 · WR 77.4%
L
lamyk🥉
Entry 88¢·406.1 shares
Invested
$356
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $356 · WR 55.6%
2
2Sherlock
Entry 90¢·276.3 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $250 · WR 59.4%
O
Olcan
Entry 188¢·76.9 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $144 · WR 76.9%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 84¢·105.8 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $88 · WR 61.1%
S
SteviaDaddyhedged
Entry 83¢·85.3 shares·also $252 on NO
Invested
$71
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $71 · WR 57.0%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 90¢·60 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $54 · WR 74.2%
N
NeevS
Entry 86¢·60 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $51 · WR 88.5%
S
sand1
Entry 87¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $35 · WR 77.6%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$774
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$331(-42.8%)
Whales
10
S
SteviaDaddy🥇hedged
Entry 19¢·1,330.5 shares·also $71 on YES
Invested
$252
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $252 · WR 57.0%
I
iutwpfal🥈
Entry 11¢·1,904.3 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $215 · WR 73.9%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 105¢·112.1 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$118
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $118 · WR 56.0%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 149¢·78.4 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $117 · WR 77.5%
5
0x57757783...hedged
Entry 96¢·23.8 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$23
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $23 · WR 81.0%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 84¢·10.5 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 68.8%
K
klp82hedged
Entry 12¢·40 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 77.1%
E
easyautomate
Entry 16¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.4%
Showing top 8 of 10
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 431ms