delphilo · Polymarket wallet 0xca52…0cdf

Wallet snapshot

delphilo has made 4,842 trades on Polymarket across 578 markets, $175K in volume. Most of it is in tech (35%) and geopolitics (18%). On 525 resolved markets the win rate is 56%, lifetime P&L +$8,672. It holds 37 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes · $1,600 · 74¢ → 64¢
• Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes · $913 · 53¢ → 95¢
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes · $845 · 51¢ → 77¢
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes · $511 · 72¢ → 87¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes · $441 · 75¢ → 83¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · $291 · 66¢ → 48¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes · $231 · 37¢ → 25¢
• Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No · $226 · 93¢ → 96¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Yes · $205 · 47¢ → 21¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No · $154 · 85¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?No · +$11 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?No · +$27 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes · +$120 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?No · +$123 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.40 and $0.45 on September 30, 2026?No · +$8 · Oct 1, 2026

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