69 days left
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$227.3K
3,508 trades
Smart Whales
100
of 442 traders · 4 on both sides
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
2 MARKETS · $328.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
50 YESvs54 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 23 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$86+12 new NO$1.3K
$48 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$849 of $32.0K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $14.8K·NO $16.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$20.7K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$11.6K(-56.0%)
Whales
50
R
Rumpelstiltskin🥇
Entry 53¢·9,467.1 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-3098
$-3098INV $5.0K · WR 56.7%
S
seal7◆Proven🥈
Entry 69¢·4,661.7 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-2262
$-2262INV $3.2K · WR 60.2%
O
Optimus-◆Proven🥉
Entry 56¢·4,893.3 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-1748
$-1748INV $2.7K · WR 61.8%
T
theta-thunberghedged
Entry 69¢·2,954 shares·also $3.3K on NO
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-1362
$-1362INV $2.0K · WR 56.2%
J
JabJabich
Entry 81¢·1,847.9 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-1126
$-1126INV $1.5K · WR 62.9%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdatehedged
Entry 85¢·1,053 shares·also $1.9K on NO
Invested
$896
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-659
$-659INV $896 · WR 56.4%
W
WordleAddicthedged
Entry 23¢·1,717.9 shares·also $77 on NO
Invested
$396
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $396 · WR 68.7%
P
PaddyAlphahedged
Entry 30¢·1,237.5 shares·also $269 on NO
Invested
$373
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $373 · WR 68.1%
D
delphilo
Entry 38¢·943 shares
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-171
$-171INV $360 · WR 56.1%
C
chicanery.
Entry 47¢·600 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-162
$-162INV $282 · WR 62.3%
Showing top 10 of 50
NO Team
Total Invested
$31.7K
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.5K(+20.6%)
Whales
54
M
M2sx92kljs42🥇
Entry 68¢·10,794.2 shares
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$1261
+$1261INV $7.4K · WR 71.3%
F
fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa🥈
Entry 59¢·5,738.3 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$1088
+$1088INV $3.4K · WR 57.0%
T
theta-thunberg🥉hedged
Entry 147¢·2,267.3 shares·also $2.0K on YES
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-1570
$-1570INV $3.3K · WR 56.2%
G
gambler925
Entry 75¢·4,031.5 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$204
+$204INV $3.0K · WR 57.1%
E
enrico-vasaio
Entry 40¢·5,100 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$2065
+$2065INV $2.0K · WR 62.9%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdatehedged
Entry 69¢·2,784 shares·also $896 on YES
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$229
+$229INV $1.9K · WR 56.4%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 32¢·2,907.2 shares
Invested
$927
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$1398
+$1398INV $927 · WR 56.5%
S
StarMaster◆Proven
Entry 65¢·1,161.8 shares
Invested
$752
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$149
+$149INV $752 · WR 55.3%
W
Watchful-Fundhedged
Entry 51¢·1,122.7 shares·also $77 on YES
Invested
$576
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$323
+$323INV $576 · WR 62.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 72¢·761.2 shares
Invested
$545
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $545 · WR 68.0%
Showing top 10 of 54
Smart Whale Trades
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