Geopolitics80 days left
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$20.2K
341 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 84 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
8 MARKETS · $51.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs9 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.8K is directional: YES $2.2K·NO $7.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$320(+14.3%)
Whales
7
W
Wickier◆Proven🥇
Entry 25¢·8,586.4 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$295
+$295INV $2.1K · WR 60.7%
T
tinman2🥈
Entry 20¢·389.6 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $76 · WR 65.9%
P
PaddyAlpha🥉
Entry 32¢·55 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 68.2%
G
GekkeHenkie23hedged
Entry 29¢·55.6 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 61.5%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 72¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $8 · WR 68.9%
L
Lbr9
Entry 38¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 68.3%
G
Goal100usdt
Entry 21¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 62.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.8K
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$202(-2.6%)
Whales
9
M
Mr-Krabs◆Proven🥇
Entry 75¢·8,146.3 shares
Invested
$6.1K
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
$-264
$-264INV $6.1K · WR 78.7%
L
Luminous-Insectarium🥈
Entry 75¢·1,205.6 shares
Invested
$901
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $901 · WR 64.4%
T
Te0n2🥉
Entry 79¢·780.7 shares
Invested
$616
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $616 · WR 66.9%
E
estoicc
Entry 31¢·300 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $93 · WR 55.5%
G
GekkeHenkie23hedged
Entry 25¢·55.6 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $14 · WR 61.5%
D
degendi
Entry 79¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 55.3%
O
oajd
Entry 89¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 79.5%
I
ifh
Entry 90¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 76.3%
A
asjdi
Entry 76¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 77.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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