Geopolitics77 days left
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$14.2K
81 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 53 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
8 MARKETS · $51.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $71 is directional: YES $1·NO $70YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-6.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$121
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-2.0%)
Whales
9
L
Luminous-Insectarium🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·55.6 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$51
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $51 · WR 63.9%
L
Lbr9🥈
Entry 93¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $37 · WR 68.3%
C
Cassandra-Unchained🥉
Entry 94¢·21.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 79.6%
O
oajd
Entry 90¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 79.5%
O
ourwq
Entry 94¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 83.2%
S
sdjisd
Entry 90¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 82.2%
M
mother2
Entry 90¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 86.7%
I
ifh
Entry 90¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 76.3%
O
osmych
Entry 91¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 89.7%
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