ifh · Polymarket wallet 0xaba5…e5b2

Wallet snapshot

ifh has made 259 trades on Polymarket across 129 markets, $4,937 in volume. Most of it is in politics (26%) and geopolitics (24%). On 97 resolved markets the win rate is 76.3%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $5 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $5 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $5 · 95¢ → 92¢
• Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 95¢ → 84¢
• Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 90¢ → 90¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $2 · 93¢ → 92¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $1 · 60¢ → 80¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $1 · 60¢ → 70¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $1 · 77¢ → 89¢

Latest closed positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 31, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.